OSU-Kansas Matchups & Predictions

Jake Jenkins

It might seem to some that the Oklahoma State vs. Kansas game is like a bye week. But that's not the case as Charlie Weis and defensive coordinator Dave Campo are quite capable of creating some interesting scheme situations for the Cowboys. There is no doubt, that Kansas cannot match up man-on-man with Oklahoma State but remember last season when OSU squeezed out a 20-14 victory in Lawrence, Kan.

1. OSU center Jake Jenkins
vs. Kansas nose Keon Stowers
Kansas is a big "bear" front team, meaning they will cover the center head up with a nose guard or nose tackle or simply a nose. Keon Stowers is a big old guy in the middle at 6-3, 297 pounds. Stowers has 19 tackles with one tackle for loss, an interception in a zone dog role, and a fumble recovered and two fumbles caused.

Stowers' major purpose is to occupy Jenkins and hopefully get a guard to help out in a double team. The way Jenkins has played lately the Cowboys will likely see how well he can handle Stowers head up and man-to-man. If Jenkins can do that a lot during the game then that will give the Oklahoma State run game an advantage with guards getting out on linebackers when KU is in their 32 Bear or 52 Bear looks up front.
Advantage: OSU center Jake Jenkins

2. OSU cornerbacks Justin Gilbert, Kevin Peterson and Tyler Patmon
vs. Kansas wide receivers Tony Pierson and Rodriguez Coleman
You knew we would go here because Patmon is a transfer who played for three season at Kansas but graduated early and chose to transfer under the graduated senior transfer rule.

We pick this, in part, because Patmon will be highly motivated and will be helping to motivate his teammates, but also because Kansas is getting some injured receivers back healthy and the main one is the "F" in Tony Pierson, who is a major playmaker who has been missing for the last four games.

Pierson hurt the Cowboys some last season and you can expect Kansas to throw out some new wrinkles on offense with a few new receivers back. That said, with Peterson healthy and back after missing the Texas Tech game, Oklahoma State is really good at the corner position.
Advantage: OSU corners Justin Gilbert, Kevin Peterson and Tyler Patmon

3. OSU middle linebacker Caleb Lavey
vs. Kansas quarterback Jake Heaps
Heaps has jumped up his play recently throwing the ball much better and he gets some good receivers back in the lineup and healthy this week. Head coach Charlie Weis is always going to work to out-scheme you some and especially in the run game. You have to get into the game and recognize what they are doing and get into diagnosing what adjustments you need your defense to make.

Lavey is the coach on the field and the main man when it comes to recognition and diagnostics. I really don't expect Oklahoma State to dominate with a 40- or 50-point effort but I will predict that the defense really limits what the Jayhawks do on offense. A huge part of that will be Lavey's quick thinking, his communication to the defense, and yes, his play making skills.
Advantage: OSU middle linebacker Caleb Lavey

Oklahoma State-Kansas Prediction
Just what do you need to know about Kansas? You need to know that the Jayhawks haven't checked anything in yet and that they continue to play hard and seem determined to collect a Big 12 win. You need to know that they are better than they were a year ago, and that in that game Oklahoma State escaped the lightning delayed contest with a 20-14 win.

Kansas can really mess with offenses with an aggressive and gambling defense. They blitzed the safety three plays in a row against Texas. Offense is more of an adventure for Kansas. That is where the final score is born. Oklahoma State will score in the 30s, but Kansas won't let them go nuts.

It may get worse after this week but right now Kansas is not eliminated from bowl eligibility and the Jayhawks are talking a four-game late season run. They won't get it, but they might put a mini scare into the Cowboys and the Boone Pickens Stadium crowd.

No. 11 Oklahoma State 31, Kansas 10

Big 12 Predictions
This Week
(Rankings are from USA Today Coaches Poll)
Thursday
No. 5 Baylor 52, No. 8 Oklahoma 24
It comes down to whether the offense can keep up with Baylor, and I really don't think either can happen. Baylor will be able to move the ball and score on that defense. The OU offense would have to score the second most points of the season to hang in and that won't happen.

Saturday
No. 11 Oklahoma State 38, Kansas 10
I know Oklahoma State fans will want to see more points and the spread is a mammoth 32 points but I have some respect for Kansas and how they are playing. Defensively, Dave Campo has done an excellent job of scheming against Big 12 opponents and coming up with creative ways of stopping or at least limiting them. A good win and Oklahoma State marches on.

Kansas State 34, No. 23 Texas Tech 31
This is a really bad matchup for Texas Tech coming off two straight losses at Oklahoma and to Oklahoma State. Kansas State head coach Bill Snyder knows likes to run the football and the Red Raiders can't stop the run. K-State, with John Hubert and Daniel Sams, will run to control the ball.

TCU 26, Iowa State 24
Two teams in a tailspin the last month, and Iowa State is celebrating homecoming. I would like to pick the Cyclones but with Casey Pachall giving the Frogs offense a little more life I'm going to take Gary Patterson and his team on the road.

Texas 27, West Virginia 21
The Mountaineers have been pointing to this as their biggest home game of the season, and they are striping the stadium blue and gold. Texas needs to limit its mistakes or the Longhorns could go from upset alert to just upset.

Last Week - Straight Up: 3-1; Against the Spread: 3-1
For the Season - Straight Up 44-11; Against the Spread: 23-23

Last Week - Review
No. 12Oklahoma State 31, No. 15 Texas Tech 30
Actual Score: Oklahoma State 52, Texas Tech 34

Texas 35, Kansas 16
Actual Score: Texas 35, Kansas 13

Kansas State 42, Iowa State 27
Actual Score: Kansas State 41, Iowa State 7

TCU 28, West Virginia 13
Actual Score: West Virginia 30, TCU 27 (OT)

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